What change should a portfolio composition?
Net-wisdom: bond and gold will be hurted.
my view:
- Interest rate raise is to curb inflation: good news overall (SP500) should still raise.
- FED will be careful not to kill the fragile growing economics: the momentum will continue but slower.
- FED will be transparent and hint to the public: prices reflect the expectation already.
- The index fund/ETF should grow => 60%
- Harder to pick alpha Stock and sector fund. => use my trend following algorithm 20%
- bond and gold position is to protect unexpected shocks, not the reasonable and expected interest rate increase. check the right proportion. (case too) => 10% each gold/bond/cash
Quant: check best fund/etf to invest, check beta for gold and bond, check fee structure on bond/gold
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